Aston Villa vs Manchester City betting preview: odds and predictions | The Sun
HAVING won their last 13 home Premier League games, Aston Villa look well placed to add to champions Manchester City’s recent poor run.
Featured bonus for Aston Villa vs Manchester City
⏩ Quick betting tips for Aston Villa vs Manchester City
- Villa/Draw double chance – 23/20 with Spreadex
- Douglas Luiz 1+ shot on target – 2/1 with bet365
- Manuel Akanji to be carded – 9/2 with Sky Bet
Aston Villa vs Manchester City odds
Here are the latest match odds for Aston Villa vs Manchester City from our top-rated football bookies. Odds are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City betting preview
While it would be foolish to write Manchester City off, the circumstances of this game appear to give Aston Villa a great chance of toppling the champions.
For a start, Villa must feel unbeatable at home right now. They’ve won 13 on the spin in the league at Villa Park and they’ve scored a remarkable 37 goals in those contests – that’s more than three per game.
The arrival of City clearly has the potential to puncture such a run but chinks have been showing in the Treble winners’ armour of late.
They’ve failed to win in their last three Premier League games – their worst such run in six years – with goals aplenty being conceded. Throw in the Champions League comeback victory over Leipzig and City have let in 10 goals in their last four matches. Go back further and its’s just two clean sheets in 12 in all competitions.
They will also be without midfield general Rodri for this one due to suspension which only weakens them further defensively. When the Spaniard was banned earlier this season, City lost all three games without him.
For all City’s squad strength, they don’t have a replacement for Rodri with the same quality and midfield is an area where Villa have excelled this season with Douglas Luiz and John McGinn both outstanding.
In short, City look worth opposing in some shape or form and the double-chance market – which also rewards if the game is drawn – looks the route to do that by.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City key stats
- Aston Villa have won their last 13 Premier League home games.
- Manchester City have not won any of their last three league matches – the last time that happened was back in 2017.
- These are the two top-scoring teams in this season’s Premier League – City lead the way with 36, while Villa have 33.
- Both teams to score has landed in seven of the last eight meetings of these sides, including the last five.
- Man City’s Rodri and Jack Grealish are both suspended for this match; Villa have Boubacar Kamara back from a ban.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City best bets
Find our best bets for the Aston Villa vs Manchester City game below. Odds for the bets are provided by the best sportsbooks per our expert reviews. Odds in the bettings tips are subject to change.
Villa/Draw double chance (Spreadex)
Villa’s home record is outstanding and if there’s ever a good time to play City, this is it.
The visitors haven’t won any of their last three league games – the last time that happened was six years ago – while they must also play without midfield lynchpin Rodri, who is suspended.
When he served a three-game ban earlier this season, City lost all three matches.
A home win will tempt some in the circumstances but we’ll opt for the safety net of the double-chance market.
⚽ Back Villa/Draw double chance at 23/20 at Spreadex ⚽
Douglas Luiz 1+ shot on target (bet365)
Luiz has been in fine form in front of goal this season and being on penalties helps on that front.
He’s landed this bet in six of his last eight Premier League games at Villa Park and looks a good price to add to that tally.
Yes, City are strong defensively but Luiz will be operating in an area where Rodri will be missed and should get a chance or two to get a shot off.
⚽ Back Luiz 1+ shot on target at 2/1 at bet365 ⚽
Manuel Akanji to be carded (Sky Bet)
So used to winning, City are team who can get a bit ratty when things don’t their way and you only have to look at their card count for evidence of that.
They had four booked when held by Spurs at the weekend and three in the 4-4 draw at Chelsea. Defeats at Arsenal and Wolves brought three and four respectively.
With Villa having the potential to cause more disruption to their title defence, Akanji looks worth chancing at a tasty price.
The Swiss defender has been carded in four of 16 starts this season and is still getting used to a new ‘hybrid’ position of stepping into midfield.
⚽ Back Akanji to be shown a card at 9/2 at Sky Bet ⚽
📺 How to watch Aston Villa vs Manchester City
- Location: Villa Park, Birmingham
- Time: 20:15 GMT on Wednesday, December 6
- Where to watch: screened live in the UK on Amazon Prime Video
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